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The Two Reasons CPG Wins on Amazon in 2025

25+ “How to Sell on Amazon” Courses, Mentorships, and Trainings
Scott Needham
CEO and Founder of SmartScout

If you want a category that compounds, not just converts, CPG is it. Two structural advantages make it the best lane for durable growth and meaningful exits on Amazon.

1) The Repeat-Purchase Flywheel


Acquire a shopper once and the economics improve with every reorder.

  • Launch economics: Day 1 CAC is subsidized by Month 2, Month 3, and Subscribe & Save.
  • Media efficiency: You can bid higher to win new customers because LTV pays it back.
  • Retention mechanics: Subscribe & Save, bundling, and pack-size progression lock in habit. Coffee is the archetype: when you nail flavor, grind, and value, customers stick.

2) A More Protected Competitive Field


In many CPG subcategories, direct factory competition from China is muted by tariffs and compliance friction. The result is less price compression and more room for brand to matter. Packaging, claims substantiation, reviews, and trust become real moats instead of temporary tactics.

SmartScout’s CPG Leaders for 2025

  • Coffee Pods – $149.9M | 470 brands | 79% Amazon share | +22%
  • Blended Vitamins – $149.1M | 2,591 brands | 12% share | +34%
  • Dry Dog Food – $123.8M | 225 brands | 89% share | +22%
  • Face Moisturizers – $108.7M | 1,772 brands | 41% share | +56%
  • Facial Serums – $101.9M | 1,406 brands | 30% share | +40%
  • Electrolyte Drinks – $92.8M | 410 brands | 7% share | +62%
  • Shampoo – $91.9M | 1,330 brands | 66% share | +35%
  • Magnesium Supplements – $87.8M | 1,004 brands | 17% share | +45%
  • Whey Protein Powders – $83.4M | 337 brands | 46% share | +36%
  • Multivitamins – $79.6M | 754 brands | 39% share | +45%

How to read this list

  • Breakout lane: Electrolyte Drinks combine low Amazon 1P share (7%), strong growth (+62%), and a manageable brand count. That is a rare setup for agile operators.
  • High growth, heavy crowding: Face Moisturizers and Facial Serums are surging, but thousands of brands fight for the same keywords and shelf space. Only enter with a tight brand story and clinical proof.
  • Big revenue, limited access: Dry Dog Food and Coffee Pods are huge, yet highly controlled by Amazon 1P and entrenched incumbents. Without a differentiated supply position, margins suffer.

Turning CAC into LTV

  1. Design the retention arc: Launch with a trial size, follow with a better-value pack, then push Subscribe & Save at delivery three.
  2. Control inputs: Lock down consistent supply, lot tracking, and QC so customers never experience variance.
  3. Own the claim set: Make one primary benefit the hero. Back it with testing, transparent labels, and clear use instructions.
  4. Compete on convenience: Prime eligibility, fast replenishment reminders, and easy multi-pack options beat small price gaps.
  5. Measure the compounding: Track TACOS on first orders vs. cohorts at 30/60/90 days. Reinvest when LTV:CAC clears 3:1.

Red Flags to Avoid

  • Commodity positioning: If your PDP is indistinguishable, you will rent clicks and never build subscribers.
  • Review volatility: Quality drift kills replenishment. Protect manufacturing consistency before scaling ads.
  • Category misfit: Chasing top-line revenue in 1P-dominated niches rarely ends well for 3P sellers.

Bottom Line


CPG wins on Amazon because customers come back and the playing field rewards real brand building. Pick a lane where 1P share is low, growth is real, and you can tell a credible story. Then let the repeat-purchase flywheel do its work.

FAQS

Why is CPG such a strong play on Amazon in 2025?

Because repeat purchase compounds revenue and many CPG lanes face less direct factory competition. That combination lets real brands build a moat and turn CAC into durable LTV.

What makes repeat purchase so powerful for ads?

When customers reorder, first-order CAC is amortized over multiple purchases. That lets you bid more aggressively for new customers without eroding contribution margin.

How do I calculate LTV to set a max CAC?

A simple model:

LTV = AOV × Gross Margin × Orders per Customer (12–18 months).

Set Max CAC where LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1 after overhead, then scale if cohorts hold.

What is Amazon 1P share and why does it matter?

It’s the percent of a subcategory’s revenue sold by Amazon Retail. High 1P share often means tighter margins and less room for 3P sellers; low 1P share usually signals a fairer playing field.

How do I pick the right CPG subcategory?

Target low 1P share, rising revenue growth, and a manageable brand count. Check review density, price band stability, and compliance complexity before committing budget.

How can I increase Subscribe & Save adoption?

Offer a true replenishment cadence (30/45/60 days), bundle logical multi-packs, highlight “save” math on PDP, and remind at delivery two or three—always within Amazon’s policies.

What are the biggest risks in supplements and skincare?

Claims and compliance. Use GMP manufacturing, third-party testing, and precise, supportable benefit statements. Avoid unsubstantiated claims that invite policy action or returns.

How do I keep retention high?

Protect quality consistency, tighten CX (fast replacement for defects), and use compliant post-purchase messaging. Nudge upsizes (trial → 30-day → multi-pack) once satisfaction is proven.

Is coffee still worth entering?

Only with a sharp angle and supply advantage. It’s high revenue but concentrated with incumbents and 1P; most new entrants struggle to win share without real differentiation.

Why are electrolytes attractive right now?

Low 1P share, strong growth, and fewer total brands create room for operators who can execute on flavor, format (stick packs, tablets), and clear use cases (performance, recovery, travel).

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